Chinese Cities - Sciences Po - OGLM 3050 - 59127 - S2 2025/26 Clément Renaud [hi@clementrenaud.com](mailto:hi@clementrenaud.com) (use left/right keyboard arrows to navigate) --- class: inverse, center, middle ## Week 8 # 闹 ## Ecological Civilization (And Its Hiccups) #### 31 Mar 2026 --- class: inverse, center, middle ## Character of the week # 闹 [Purple Culture](https://www.purpleculture.net/dictionary-details/?word=闹) / [Hanziyuan](https://hanziyuan.net/) / [CUHK dic](https://humanum.arts.cuhk.edu.hk/Lexis/lexi-mf/search.php?word=闹) --- class: inverse, middle # Today 1. China's main natural hazards — overview 2. How the state responds: engineering, planning, jargon 3. Case study 1: **Sichuan earthquake** — who rebuilds, where, how? 4. Case study 2: **Wuhan water** — sponge city, East Lake, and resistance 5. Contesting risk: NIMBY, dam resettlement 6. Group work --- # From Hazards to Governing Risk > 70% of Chinese cities face floods, earthquakes, or landslides (World Bank, 2019). ### Political ecology **Not "what are the risks?" but more "who decides where the risk goes?"** - Whose neighborhood gets the flood retention basin? - Which communities are relocated after the earthquake — and where to? - Who gets the incinerator, the chemical plant, the elevated highway? - When the "sponge city" is built, who loses land and who gains amenity? Risk is not evenly distributed — it follows existing lines of inequality (income, hukou, land rights, etc). --- class: inverse, middle # 1. China Natural Hazards ### Overview --- background-image: url(/chinese-cities/img/china-water-scarcity.png) # Water Stress .footnote[ - [Reuters graphics](https://graphics.thomsonreuters.com/14/chinawater/index.html) - [WRI's New Water Stress Map](https://cwrrr.org/opinions/wris-new-china-water-stress-map/) ] --- # Floods [SCMP interactive map](https://multimedia.scmp.com/infographics/news/china/article/3094790/china-floods/index.html) ### Yangtze River Floods - Dams and levees displace risk **downstream** — protecting one city by exposing another - Urban encroachment on floodplains (Wuhan, Zhengzhou) - **2021 Zhengzhou flood**: 12 people drowned in a subway tunnel — urban infrastructure as death trap - Policy response: "Sponge City" programs (2015–) --- # Earthquakes - Rapid urban growth in seismic zones — often without adequate building codes in rural areas - **Sichuan 2008**: 87,000 killed, including ~10,000 children in school buildings that collapsed while government buildings nearby survived → "tofu construction" (豆腐渣工程) scandal - Post-quake: stricter building codes and "quake-proof" retrofitting in Chengdu See [TransRe natural hazards report](https://www.transre.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/chinas-natural-hazards-an-introduction.pdf) --- class: bg-contain background-image: url(/chinese-cities/img/china-climate.jpg) # Typhoons 台风 Typhoon Lekima 2019, Super Typhoon Saomai (2006) → $2.5B damage. [Typhoons](https://www.worlddata.info/asia/china/typhoons.php) --- class: bg-contain background-image: url(/chinese-cities/img/sinking-cities.avif) # Sinking Cities - 1.8 million km² of land converted to urban use 1992–2018 - Shanghai subsiding + sea-level rise: double exposure - Mangrove restoration projects (Guangdong) .footnote[ Grey = regional hotspots. Circle: blue = low subsidence; dark red = high. [Source](https://theconversation.com/more-than-a-third-of-urban-chinese-live-in-sinking-cities-heres-what-they-can-do-229089) ] --- class: bg-contain background-image: url(/chinese-cities/img/greenhouse-gas.png) # Greenhouse Gas ### [Stats](https://ourworldindata.org/co2-emissions-metrics) - Highest global emitter - Per capita still relatively low — see [consumption-adjusted data](https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/consumption-co2-per-capita?country=~PLW) - Industrial pollution: material footprint of the nations (2015) --- class: inverse, middle # 2. How the State Responds ### Engineering, planning, and "ecological civilization" --- # The "Ecological Civilization" 生态文明 ### 2007 — introduced into the Communist Party constitution [Carbon Brief: Glossary](https://interactive.carbonbrief.org/glossary/china/index.html) Read: [What "shengtai wenming" actually means](https://aocrawford.substack.com/p/shengtai-wenming) --- class: bg-contain background-image: url(/chinese-cities/img/eco-red-zones.png) # Ecological Red Lines Read [report](https://environmental-partnership.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/12/Policy-Brief-Ecological-Conservation-Redlines-2.pdf) --- class: bg-contain background-image: url(/chinese-cities/img/two-mountains.jpg) # "Two Mountains" Framework ### "Clear waters and green mountains are as valuable as gold and silver mountains" ### 绿水青山就是金山银山 .footnote[[source](https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0301479724009460)] --- # Strategies — and their limits | Approach | Examples | Limitation | | -------------------------- | ------------------------------------------ | ---------------------------------------------------------------- | | **Hard engineering** | Three Gorges Dam, levees, cloud-seeding | Moves risk downstream; breaks ecosystems | | **Planning regulation** | Ecological red lines, flood zone mapping | Enforcement can be weak in growth-priority contexts (evaluation) | | **Nature-based solutions** | Sponge cities, wetland restoration | Slow, expensive, politically difficult | | **Tech solutions** | Smart city monitoring, AI flood prediction | Addresses symptoms, not causes | > Default is to rely on hadr infrastructure — visible, auditable, and politically creditable (业绩). --- class: inverse, middle, center # Case Study 1 ## Sichuan 2008 — Governing Reconstruction --- class: inverse, background-image: url(/chinese-cities/img/doufuzha.jpg) # The Sichuan Earthquake (May 12, 2008) ### 87,000 dead — and the politics of rebuilding .left-column[ ### The disaster **Magnitude 7.9** — epicenter in Wenchuan (汶川), Aba Prefecture, Sichuan Province - ~5 million people made homeless - ~10,000 children killed in collapsed school buildings - Government and factory buildings nearby survived → **"tofu construction" scandal** (豆腐渣工程) - Parents protested; journalists investigated; petitioners were detained ] --- # The reconstruction as planning experiment - **Central government mandate**: rebuild within 3 years (completed 2011) - **"Counterpart assistance" (对口支援) system**: each province paired with an affected county - Guangdong →汶川; Beijing → 什邡; Shanghai → 都江堰 - Faster than any post-disaster reconstruction globally — at significant social cost .footnote[ Image: collapsed school buildings in Beichuan alongside standing government buildings — the image that defined the "tofu construction" controversy ] --- # Who Rebuilt Where — and Who Decided? .left-column[ ### The political ecology of reconstruction - Relocated communities often moved to **new planned towns** far from original land - Farmers lost connection to land, ancestral sites, livelihoods - Some communities resisted relocation — parallel to nail house logic - **Chengdu's "land quota trading" program** (地票制度): farmers traded rural land rights for urban apartments in new developments (Wilczak, 2020) - Praised as "innovative"; criticized as forced urbanization under the cover of disaster response ] .right-column[ ### The Chengdu model and urban expansion - Post-quake reconstruction accelerated Chengdu's urban expansion (Abramson & Yu, 2011) - New towns built on agricultural land — farmers compensated but landless (Xu, 2014) - Chengdu's urban extent grew at ~13%/year through the 2000s ([Atlas of Urban Expansion](http://atlasofurbanexpansion.org/cities/view/Chengdu_Sichuan)) ] --- # Reading the Reconstruction — Key Sources | Author | Argument | | ------------------------ | ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- | | **Abramson & Yu (2011)** | The earthquake didn't create the urbanization agenda — Chengdu was already a pilot zone for urban-rural integration since 2007; the quake made it politically irresistible. | | **Oakes (2019)** | 2,000 planners designed 361 new "pastoral" villages in 12 days — but the real function was concentrating rural populations and freeing land for metropolitan use. | | **Wilczak (2017, 2020)** | Chengdu's land ticket system achieved "commodification without dispossession" — farmers weren't evicted, but once neighbors moved and services relocated, staying became unviable. | | **Xu (2014)** | The state used the disaster as a laboratory to turn "unruly peasants into grateful urban citizens" — reconstruction was about political transformation, not just housing. | --- class: inverse, middle, center # Case Study 2 ## Wuhan Water — Sponge City, East Lake, and Resistance --- # The "City of Hundred Lakes" — 百湖之市 - 127 natural lakes within city boundaries in the 1950s — covering 25% of urban area - Today: 38 lakes remain; –65% surface area 1990–2015 - East Lake lost 30% of surface area — filled for development --- class: inverse background-image: url(/chinese-cities/img/flood-wuhan.avif) # A Long History of Floods .footnote[ - 1931 floods — [old photo](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1931_China_floods#/media/File:Hankow_city_hall.jpg) - Yangtze River flooding, July 2020 — [photos](https://www.theatlantic.com/photo/2020/08/photos-chinas-summer-of-floods/615661/) ] --- background-image: url(/chinese-cities/img/wuhan-east-lake.jpg) # East Lake Development and Resistance [link](https://www.connectingcities.eu/wuhan-east-lake-scenic-area-development-planning/) --- class: inverse background-image: url(/chinese-cities/img/liwen-donghu.jpg) background-position: top # 我们的东湖 ## [trailer](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nEaDfJ4Li-A) — [website](http://donghu2010.org) — [article](https://blog.futurechallenges.org/local/author/clement/) --- # After The Happy Valley .row[ .column[ ### The protest "failed"... - **2009**: OCT leases 211 ha including 30 ha of lake for ¥4.3B - **2010**: "Everyone's East Lake" art protest suppressed by police - **2012**: Happy Valley opens — 3M+ visitors/year - Villagers displaced, fishery demolished, compensation below market rate ] .column[ ### ...but the lake was "saved" - **2014–2017**: Wuhan builds **102 km car-free greenway** around East Lake ([SWA Group / UN-Habitat](https://www.swagroup.com/projects/wuhan-east-lake-greenway/)) - Modeled on Hangzhou's free-access West Lake - 12.9M visits in 2017; ~40M total since opening - Water quality improved from Grade V to **Grade III** — best in 40 years ] ] --- background-image: url(/chinese-cities/img/sponge-city-wuhan.avif) # Sponge City ### Urban design to absorb, retain, clean and reuse rainwater --- # Sponge City .left-column[ - **Sponge cities** (海绵城市) treat urban areas as permeable systems: they capture, slow, filter, and reuse rainfall with soils, wetlands, and storage—rather than moving stormwater off-site as quickly as possible through pipes and concrete. - Program launched 2015 across 30 pilot cities; expanded nationally - Restoration of urban wetlands and natural drainage systems - Target: 20% of urban area meeting sponge standards by 2020 ] ### The limits - **2021 Zhengzhou flood** (also a sponge city pilot): severe flooding killed 380 people - Sponge infrastructure works at neighborhood scale; overwhelmed by extreme events - Risk: "sponge city" label creates false security while development continues on floodplains --- class: inverse, middle, center # 3. Contesting ## Dam resettlement, NIMBY, and urban waste --- # Activism with Chinese characteristics? - "right to the city": Lefebvre's Collective right to reshape urbanization processes - In China, "Rightful resistance" within official rhetoric (O'Brien & Li) - Activism as negotiation rather than opposition - How citizen actions influence policy outcomes? --- class: inverse background-image: url(/chinese-cities/img/dam.jpg) # Nuozhadu Dam Resettlement ### Hydropower as national priority — "mass participation" (群众参与) .left-column[ ### The project - **Nuozhadu Dam** (Yunnan): one of the largest in the Mekong cascade - Construction submerged 37 km of the Simao-Lanchang Highway and a 168-meter bridge - 87 households displaced ] .right-column[ ### The "choice" offered - **Government-organized resettlement**: move to a new village 90 km away, with water, electricity, and services provided - **Self-organized resettlement**: stay closer to home, but must provide own certificates and follow regulations ] .footnote[ [World Bank resettlement review](https://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/210541593565161978/pdf/A-Review-of-Resettlement-Management-Experience-in-China-Hydropower-Projects-Identifying-Key-Lessons-Learned.pdf) — [Mekong downstream impacts](https://www.planet.com/stories/nuozhadu-the-mekongs-largest-dam-releases-6-billio-T2w4uDTNg) ] --- # Nuozhadu Dan — those who stayed .left-column[ ### What happened? - 73 households moved to the government village — 14 decided to self-organize and stay closer (Habich-Sobiegalla & Rousseau, 2020) - Self-organized group: now in charge of resource management (transfers from the state to communities) - Those who stayed faced bureaucratic hurdles; those who left lost proximity to land and social networks ] .right-column[ ### What does the "choice" reveal? - Framed as participatory — but the options are radically unequal - Government village = full provision but displacement; self-organized = autonomy but no support - Echoes the Sichuan reconstruction logic: infrastructure as vehicle for spatial reorganization ] .footnote[ [official report](https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202209/1276056.shtml) — [power plant stats](https://www.power-technology.com/marketdata/power-plant-profile-nuozhadu-china/) ] --- class: inverse background-image: url(/chinese-cities/img/px-protests.jpg) # NIMBY - Anti-PX Protests ### against para-xylene (PX) chemical factories some [pics](https://hongkongfp.com/2015/07/01/px-an-explosive-word-in-china-the-long-history-of-anti-paraxylene-protests/) .footnote[ - **Xiamen (2007)**: First major success - relocation of chemical plant - **Dalian (2011)**: 12,000 protesters force temporary shutdown - **Maoming (2014)**: Violent confrontations over petrochemical expansion - Lead to "Environmental Impact Assessment Law" amendments ] --- class: inverse background-image: url(/chinese-cities/img/china_incinerator_protest.webp) # Urban Waste Management .foonote[ - **Beijing Waste Incinerator Protests (2011-2015)** - Asuwei and Liulitun neighborhoods - Citizen-led environmental monitoring - **Shanghai Garbage Classification System (2019)** - **Policy Outcomes**: "Zero-waste city" pilot programs in 16 cities ] --- # Governing Risk: What We've Learned ### Across all three cases | Case | Risk type | Who decides? | Who bears it? | | ---------------------- | ---------- | -------------------------- | ------------------------------------ | | Sichuan reconstruction | Earthquake | State + provincial pairing | Displaced rural communities | | Wuhan sponge city | Flood | Municipal planners | Residents in poorly served compounds | | Nuozhadu dam | Hydropower | State + energy companies | Displaced villagers given a "choice" | ### A planning question Risk governance not a technical problem: more a distribution problem. Every intervention shifts risk from some people to others. The ecological civilization is messier than the slogan. --- class: inverse, middle # Group Work (15 min) ### Work on your final projects - Refine your topic and angle - Discuss with your group members - Ask questions if needed